Alcorn State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#77
−3.7 pts · likely #53–104
Strength of schedule
27.4
#69 of 128
Strength of victory
21.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.413
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 49.0%
Remaining SOS
24.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 10-38 | +8.9 | +2.6 | 0.568 | 1 | −14.4 |
| 3 | vs McNeese | W 17-3 | −10.1 | −2.6 | 0.070 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 20-23 | −7.8 | −2.6 | 0.094 | 4 | −11.2 |
| 5 | at Alabama State | W 23-20 OT | +1.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Grambling State · p 0.228
- Wk 8: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.085
- Wk 9: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.040
- Wk 10: vs Southern · p 0.267
- Wk 11: at Texas Southern · p 0.236
- Wk 12: at Jackson State · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Southern MissFBS · L 14-40