Alabama State
SWAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#69
−1.4 pts · likely #42–96
Strength of schedule
35.5
#41 of 128
Strength of victory
29.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 43.1%
Remaining SOS
25.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | W 14-10 | +3.6 | −2.6 | 0.293 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 10-23 | +12.1 | +2.6 | 0.653 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | L 20-23 OT | −5.8 | −2.6 | 0.118 | 3 | −9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.158
- Wk 7: at Jackson State · p 0.619
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.155
- Wk 10: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.286
- Wk 11: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.082
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.202
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · L 17-21