Southern
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#53
+2.8 pts · likely #29–81
Strength of schedule
23.7
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
12.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
24.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Alabama State | L 10-14 | −2.4 | +2.6 | 0.276 | 2 | −2.7 |
| 2 | vs Jackson State | L 14-27 | +9.1 | −2.6 | 0.431 | 2 | −4.7 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | W 20-10 | −6.4 | −2.6 | 0.111 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 5 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 27-0 | −10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Florida A&M · p 0.497
- Wk 8: vs (N) Bethune-Cookman · p 0.205
- Wk 9: vs Texas Southern · p 0.141
- Wk 10: at Alcorn State · p 0.243
- Wk 11: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.116
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.286