Towson
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#63
−0.4 pts · likely #41–92
Strength of schedule
33.7
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
46.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
49.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +3.4 | −2.6 | 0.288 | 2 | −15.1 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −4.3 | +2.6 | 0.235 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −5.2 | −2.6 | 0.126 | 3 | −12.3 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +14.1 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UAlbany · p 0.487
- Wk 8: at William & Mary · p 0.642
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.552
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.286
- Wk 11: at Villanova · p 0.598
- Wk 12: vs Rhode Island · p 0.374
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38