Norfolk State
MEAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#74
−2.6 pts · likely #46–103
Strength of schedule
32.8
#50 of 128
Strength of victory
41.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.608
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 71.3%
Remaining SOS
28.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Hampton | W 31-23 | +4.2 | +2.6 | 0.442 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 21-14 | +2.0 | +2.6 | 0.385 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 5 | vs North Carolina A&T | L 26-28 | −3.2 | −2.6 | 0.156 | 3 | −6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Tennessee State · p 0.351
- Wk 8: at Howard · p 0.437
- Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.117
- Wk 10: at North Carolina Central · p 0.652
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.067
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.096
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia StateDII · L 24-33
- Wk 3: at TempleFBS · L 9-41