Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−14.0 pts · likely #89–126
Strength of schedule
29.1
#67 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.391
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
16.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | L 22-48 | +10.4 | +2.6 | 0.609 | 1 | −13.1 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 28-35 | −5.3 | +2.6 | 0.215 | 3 | −10.0 |
| 5 | vs Drake | L 9-16 | −12.6 | −2.6 | 0.050 | 4 | −20.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Dayton · p 0.039
- Wk 7: at Valparaiso · p 0.069
- Wk 8: at Tarleton State · p 0.477
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.135
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.146
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.245
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.048
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 37-35