St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#87
−5.7 pts · likely #58–110
Strength of schedule
32.2
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
5.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
9.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota | L 0-24 | +9.9 | +2.6 | 0.595 | 1 | −10.6 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 13-45 | +9.2 | +2.6 | 0.578 | 1 | −17.2 |
| 4 | vs Morehead State | W 35-28 | −15.2 | −2.6 | 0.034 | 4 | −9.7 |
| 5 | at Dayton | W 20-14 | −14.2 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Butler · p 0.146
- Wk 7: at Drake · p 0.122
- Wk 8: at Stetson · p 0.085
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.023
- Wk 11: at San Diego · p 0.135
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.033
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 36-26