Dayton
Pioneer · 0-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−13.6 pts · likely #89–125
Strength of schedule
23.0
#88 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.343
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
11.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Illinois State | L 0-41 | +5.1 | +2.6 | 0.467 | 2 | −25.1 |
| 4 | at San Diego | L 25-40 | −11.7 | +2.6 | 0.110 | 3 | −21.6 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 14-20 | −6.2 | −2.6 | 0.113 | 3 | −14.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Morehead State · p 0.082
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.022
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.146
- Wk 10: at Valparaiso · p 0.069
- Wk 11: vs Marist · p 0.023
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.370
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 62-24
- Wk 3: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 52-20