Mercer
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#27
+10.2 pts · likely #8–53
Strength of schedule
26.3
#76 of 128
Strength of victory
12.4
#32
Record SOS
0.513
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
35.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −1.0 | 0.0 | 0.249 | 3 | +8.7 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −14.4 | −2.6 | 0.038 | 4 | +9.3 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +13.2 | +2.6 | 0.680 | 1 | −4.3 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −8.6 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at East Tennessee State · p 0.165
- Wk 7: vs Chattanooga · p 0.392
- Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.084
- Wk 9: at Western Carolina · p 0.685
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.048
- Wk 11: vs Samford · p 0.209
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.367
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.871
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73