Eastern Illinois
OVC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#65
−0.5 pts · likely #39–91
Strength of schedule
20.4
#97 of 128
Strength of victory
20.4
#24
Record SOS
0.396
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 68.8%
Remaining SOS
29.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Indiana State | W 27-0 | −3.8 | +2.6 | 0.246 | 3 | +19.7 |
| 3 | vs Illinois State | W 14-13 | +8.9 | −2.6 | 0.427 | 2 | +5.6 |
| 4 | vs McNeese | W 31-28 | −13.6 | −2.6 | 0.043 | 4 | −10.8 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | W 19-10 | −12.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UT Martin · p 0.512
- Wk 7: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.655
- Wk 8: vs Bryant · p 0.192
- Wk 10: at Lindenwood · p 0.091
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee State · p 0.229
- Wk 12: at Robert Morris · p 0.095
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Bowling GreenFBS · L 15-38