Chattanooga
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#32
+8.2 pts · likely #14–59
Strength of schedule
20.9
#92 of 128
Strength of victory
20.2
#25
Record SOS
0.277
Opp. 14.0% · Opp. opp. 55.1%
Remaining SOS
48.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Alabama | L 27-41 | −4.1 | +2.6 | 0.239 | 3 | −12.7 |
| 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.6 | −2.6 | 0.184 | 3 | +3.5 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 48-3 | −16.7 | −2.6 | 0.027 | 4 | +14.8 |
| 4 | at Samford | W 47-24 | +4.7 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.549
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.603
- Wk 8: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.091
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.118
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.649
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.634
- Wk 14: at Furman · p 0.771