Wagner
NEC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#104
−10.6 pts · likely #79–122
Strength of schedule
26.2
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
16.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.378
Opp. 30.6% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
13.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | L 16-46 | +4.4 | +2.6 | 0.448 | 2 | −20.8 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-10 | −7.5 | +2.6 | 0.173 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 4 | vs Merrimack | W 30-27 | −2.8 | −2.6 | 0.164 | 3 | −3.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Saint Francis · p 0.208
- Wk 8: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.055
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.059
- Wk 10: vs Duquesne · p 0.172
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.178
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NavyFBS · L 0-24
- Wk 5: at RutgersFBS · L 3-52