Fordham
Patriot · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#39
+6.5 pts · likely #18–66
Strength of schedule
22.1
#90 of 128
Strength of victory
8.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.635
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 40.6%
Remaining SOS
25.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UAlbany | L 13-34 | +7.3 | +2.6 | 0.526 | 1 | −8.0 |
| 1 | vs Wagner | W 46-16 | −8.1 | −2.6 | 0.090 | 4 | +16.7 |
| 4 | vs Stonehill | W 44-0 | −8.7 | −2.6 | 0.083 | 4 | +21.2 |
| 5 | at Georgetown | L 24-28 | −7.0 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Lehigh · p 0.051
- Wk 7: at Stony Brook · p 0.104
- Wk 9: vs Holy Cross · p 0.623
- Wk 10: vs Bucknell · p 0.050
- Wk 11: at Lafayette · p 0.509
- Wk 12: at Colgate · p 0.187
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at BuffaloFBS · W 40-37