Southern Utah
UAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#44
+5.8 pts · likely #16–69
Strength of schedule
41.8
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
5.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
41.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 21-23 | +12.4 | +2.6 | 0.659 | 1 | +11.4 |
| 4 | vs Western Illinois | W 37-17 | −12.0 | −2.6 | 0.054 | 4 | +5.5 |
| 5 | vs Central Arkansas | L 27-29 | +13.1 | −2.6 | 0.540 | 1 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Tarleton State · p 0.477
- Wk 8: vs Austin Peay · p 0.493
- Wk 9: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.319
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.629
- Wk 12: at Utah Tech · p 0.164
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 21-24
- Wk 2: at BYUFBS · L 16-41