Colgate
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#91
−6.6 pts · likely #63–112
Strength of schedule
46.1
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
29.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.629
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 47.0%
Remaining SOS
24.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +9.2 | +2.6 | 0.577 | 1 | −11.1 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +2.6 | −2.6 | 0.269 | 2 | −12.7 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +14.1 | +2.6 | 0.702 | 1 | −16.4 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −1.5 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Dartmouth · p 0.258
- Wk 8: at Georgetown · p 0.227
- Wk 9: vs Bucknell · p 0.050
- Wk 10: at Lafayette · p 0.509
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.051
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65