Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#60
+0.6 pts · likely #37–89
Strength of schedule
44.6
#16 of 128
Strength of victory
47.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
43.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +9.6 | +2.6 | 0.588 | 1 | −2.5 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −13.4 | −2.6 | 0.044 | 4 | −24.5 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +10.6 | −2.6 | 0.473 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +13.1 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Weber State · p 0.505
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.307
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.485
- Wk 10: at Montana State · p 0.860
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.055
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.392
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38