Sacramento State
Big Sky · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#25
+10.3 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
30.4
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
18.0
#29
Record SOS
0.578
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
42.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | −0.9 | +2.6 | 0.311 | 2 | +14.5 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −11.4 | −2.6 | 0.059 | 4 | +13.8 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +13.1 | +2.6 | 0.677 | 1 | +7.4 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | −2.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.108
- Wk 8: vs Montana State · p 0.765
- Wk 9: vs Idaho State · p 0.095
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.511
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.069
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.626
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.606
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.626
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23