North Dakota
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#28
+9.8 pts · likely #9–54
Strength of schedule
39.2
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
16.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.616
Opp. 61.1% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
37.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −7.9 | −2.6 | 0.093 | 4 | +22.0 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | +0.9 | −2.6 | 0.233 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 21-42 | +21.5 | +2.6 | 0.849 | 1 | +4.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Western Illinois · p 0.055
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.700
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.508
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.065
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.209
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.626
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.391
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.466
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42