Murray State
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#89
−6.2 pts · likely #55–115
Strength of schedule
4.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
4.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
57.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 41-10 | −13.7 | −2.6 | 0.043 | 4 | +10.6 |
| 5 | vs Indiana State | W 30-28 | −12.8 | −2.6 | 0.049 | 4 | −10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at South Dakota · p 0.626
- Wk 7: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.622
- Wk 8: at Missouri State · p 0.569
- Wk 9: at North Dakota State · p 0.811
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.464
- Wk 11: at Illinois State · p 0.533
- Wk 12: vs Youngstown State · p 0.392
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-56
- Wk 3: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-35