Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−14.6 pts · likely #89–126
Strength of schedule
24.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.375
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 29.2%
Remaining SOS
15.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-52 | +5.0 | +2.6 | 0.463 | 2 | −25.0 |
| 4 | vs Marist | L 30-36 OT | −19.6 | −2.6 | 0.017 | 4 | −22.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Drake · p 0.122
- Wk 7: vs Morehead State · p 0.040
- Wk 8: at Davidson · p 0.370
- Wk 9: at Butler · p 0.243
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.039
- Wk 11: vs Stetson · p 0.042
- Wk 12: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.198
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · L 22-24
- Wk 5: vs Southwest Minnesota StateDII · W 16-15