Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#105
−10.7 pts · likely #77–123
Strength of schedule
29.3
#64 of 128
Strength of victory
10.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.356
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 40.3%
Remaining SOS
47.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −6.5 | −2.6 | 0.109 | 3 | +5.1 |
| 4 | at Portland State | L 21-59 | −2.2 | +2.6 | 0.282 | 2 | −28.6 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | L 13-31 | +11.2 | −2.6 | 0.489 | 2 | −9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Idaho · p 0.561
- Wk 7: at Montana State · p 0.860
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.055
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.392
- Wk 11: at Sacramento State · p 0.607
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.365
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 3-59
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 41-20