Butler
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#78
−3.8 pts · likely #46–106
Strength of schedule
20.3
#98 of 128
Strength of victory
5.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.424
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
11.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 20-35 | +6.3 | +2.6 | 0.500 | 2 | −5.9 |
| 4 | at Stetson | W 28-18 | −13.1 | +2.6 | 0.094 | 4 | −1.0 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-17 | −20.0 | −2.6 | 0.016 | 4 | −10.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.198
- Wk 7: vs Davidson · p 0.245
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.080
- Wk 9: vs Valparaiso · p 0.033
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.082
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.064
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 41-13
- Wk 3: vs Wabash CollegeDIII · W 47-21