Tennessee State
OVC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 69% of the time
Power
#61
+0.5 pts · likely #34–92
Strength of schedule
38.0
#31 of 128
Strength of victory
23.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.625
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
20.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −15.2 | 0.0 | 0.050 | 4 | −4.0 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +8.5 | −2.6 | 0.416 | 2 | +5.7 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +13.0 | +2.6 | 0.674 | 1 | +4.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Kennesaw State · p 0.315
- Wk 7: vs Norfolk State · p 0.175
- Wk 9: vs Lindenwood · p 0.045
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.213
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.335
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.119
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56