Saint Francis
NEC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#82
−5.0 pts · likely #56–108
Strength of schedule
22.0
#91 of 128
Strength of victory
11.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.363
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 34.0%
Remaining SOS
13.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Robert Morris | L 21-31 | −17.2 | +2.6 | 0.055 | 4 | −20.8 |
| 3 | at Delaware | L 14-42 | +11.8 | +2.6 | 0.646 | 1 | −12.0 |
| 4 | vs Sacred Heart | L 34-37 | −11.3 | −2.6 | 0.059 | 4 | −14.9 |
| 5 | at Stonehill | W 15-10 | −11.0 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Wagner · p 0.064
- Wk 8: at Duquesne · p 0.278
- Wk 9: vs Merrimack · p 0.141
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.100
- Wk 12: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.108
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Western MichiganFBS · L 17-35