Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#95
−7.4 pts · likely #63–116
Strength of schedule
30.7
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
6.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
47.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-41 | +3.2 | −2.6 | 0.283 | 2 | −19.7 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 35-21 | −10.2 | −2.6 | 0.069 | 4 | −0.3 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 20-28 | +8.8 | +2.6 | 0.568 | 1 | +1.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.263
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.443
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.607
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.365
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.485
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.696
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 28-36
- Wk 2: at Utah StateFBS · L 28-78