Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#36
+7.0 pts · likely #13–66
Strength of schedule
29.2
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
31.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.590
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 43.5%
Remaining SOS
47.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | +1.2 | −2.6 | 0.239 | 3 | −13.5 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | −4.3 | +2.6 | 0.235 | 3 | +19.2 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +8.0 | −2.6 | 0.402 | 2 | +7.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.123
- Wk 7: at South Dakota State · p 0.871
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota · p 0.464
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.533
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.055
- Wk 11: at Missouri State · p 0.569
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.700
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30