Elon
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#11
+12.2 pts · likely #5–43
Strength of schedule
44.5
#17 of 128
Strength of victory
45.7
#2
Record SOS
0.555
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 66.4%
Remaining SOS
45.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Gardner-Webb | L 27-34 | +3.0 | +2.6 | 0.411 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 3 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 27-3 | +0.0 | −2.6 | 0.215 | 3 | +19.5 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 28-24 | +11.2 | +2.6 | 0.629 | 1 | +16.9 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 14-6 | +12.6 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.513
- Wk 7: at Villanova · p 0.598
- Wk 8: vs Monmouth · p 0.368
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.688
- Wk 11: at Richmond · p 0.313
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.235
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Wake ForestFBS · L 17-37