William & Mary
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#17
+11.6 pts · likely #8–44
Strength of schedule
34.0
#45 of 128
Strength of victory
26.9
#16
Record SOS
0.445
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
35.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +12.4 | +2.6 | 0.659 | 1 | +22.9 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −10.1 | −2.6 | 0.070 | 4 | +5.9 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −7.1 | +2.6 | 0.180 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 28-3 | −2.7 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Towson · p 0.205
- Wk 9: vs Monmouth · p 0.368
- Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.627
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.358
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.199