East Tennessee State
Southern · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#94
−7.4 pts · likely #59–118
Strength of schedule
42.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
37.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +8.4 | +2.6 | 0.555 | 1 | −20.7 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | −1.3 | +2.6 | 0.302 | 2 | −11.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Mercer · p 0.461
- Wk 7: vs Wofford · p 0.084
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.534
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.771
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.061
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.685
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.021
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0