North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#14
+11.9 pts · likely #6–48
Strength of schedule
27.9
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
27.9
#13
Record SOS
0.501
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 83.5%
Remaining SOS
27.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −1.3 | +2.6 | 0.303 | 2 | +14.8 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −11.0 | 0.0 | 0.087 | 4 | +20.7 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +9.6 | −2.6 | 0.446 | 2 | +8.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Elon · p 0.654
- Wk 8: at Morgan State · p 0.202
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.096
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.175
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.437
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.032
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.313
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59