Lafayette
Patriot · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#38
+6.6 pts · likely #16–67
Strength of schedule
24.9
#84 of 128
Strength of victory
24.9
#19
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 62.0%
Remaining SOS
38.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | W 19-14 | −11.1 | +2.6 | 0.118 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | W 24-3 | +8.0 | −2.6 | 0.402 | 2 | +22.2 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | W 28-20 | +7.8 | −2.6 | 0.399 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 5 | vs Bucknell | W 56-22 | −9.2 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Princeton · p 0.433
- Wk 8: at Holy Cross · p 0.750
- Wk 9: at Georgetown · p 0.227
- Wk 10: vs Colgate · p 0.106
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.367
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.100
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.688
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at DukeFBS · L 7-42