North Dakota State
MVFC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#3
+18.5 pts · likely #2–22
Strength of schedule
37.5
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
37.8
#5
Record SOS
0.710
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 63.0%
Remaining SOS
49.2
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +4.1 | 0.0 | 0.371 | 2 | +27.2 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −2.2 | −2.6 | 0.174 | 3 | +28.5 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +15.0 | −2.6 | 0.590 | 1 | +27.5 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | L 19-24 | +6.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Missouri State · p 0.569
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.606
- Wk 8: vs Western Illinois · p 0.055
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.121
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.871
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.622
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.508
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.064
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.860
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.626
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.511