Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2024 Week 5 · through Sunday, September 29

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +31.5 · #10 +14.1 · middle +0.3
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 61.0 · #10 49.8 · middle 30.7 · easiest 5.4
SOR (lower is better): #1 13% · #25 66%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 206 FCS games · run 8b77b6d2791e

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

North Dakota StateMVFC

4-0

4-1

13%

+23.1

37.4

0.745

59.0

UC DavisBig Sky

4-0

4-1

17%

+7.8

30.4

0.478

45.0

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

4-0

4-1

18%

+10.0

31.0

0.448

22.6

North DakotaMVFC

4-0

4-1

20%

+15.6

29.6

0.653

58.4

VillanovaCAA

4-0

4-1

22%

+14.5

30.7

0.418

43.2

MercerSouthern

5-0

22%

+13.3

23.6

0.453

37.5

MontanaBig Sky

4-1

30%

+15.3

40.4

32.4

0.626

39.6

Tarleton StateUAC

4-0

4-1

31%

+8.7

25.6

0.705

40.1

Rhode IslandCAA

3-0

3-1

32%

+6.6

30.5

0.431

40.1

Missouri StateMVFC

3-1

3-2

33%

+11.0

47.7

39.5

0.575

49.2

William & MaryCAA

4-0

4-1

34%

+13.5

23.1

0.491

29.4

McNeeseSouthland

4-1

4-2

35%

+3.8

38.1

33.4

0.718

24.1

New HampshireCAA

3-0

3-1

35%

+14.1

26.1

0.401

42.3

Central ArkansasUAC

4-0

4-1

37%

+16.6

21.4

0.523

33.8

Stony BrookCAA

4-0

4-1

43%

+1.0

18.3

0.517

45.7

DelawareCAA

4-0

44%

+16.7

17.8

0.430

40.7

Montana StateBig Sky

4-0

5-0

44%

+18.2

17.7

0.430

49.8

East Tennessee StateSouthern

2-1

3-2

50%

+7.8

50.0

33.3

0.586

33.4

DrakePioneer

2-1

53%

−3.1

48.1

33.1

0.646

13.2

LamarSouthland

3-1

3-2

55%

−2.6

35.1

21.4

0.503

29.8

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

2-1

3-2

60%

+8.9

43.1

40.0

0.505

38.6

IdahoBig Sky

2-1

3-2

64%

+13.5

40.3

36.3

0.657

40.7

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-2

2-3

65%

+6.9

53.1

49.6

0.685

49.7

MaineCAA

3-2

65%

+0.8

42.8

34.3

0.517

49.7

Eastern KentuckyUAC

3-0

3-2

66%

+11.0

12.7

0.602

42.6

Illinois StateMVFC

3-1

3-2

68%

+5.4

30.0

16.2

0.604

45.0

WoffordSouthern

2-2

70%

−0.5

49.8

43.7

0.720

32.2

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-2

72%

+11.1

51.1

31.5

0.558

34.6

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-1

2-3

78%

+11.1

30.8

25.4

0.485

36.9

Idaho StateBig Sky

1-2

2-3

78%

−0.9

60.9

46.5

0.709

42.4

Abilene ChristianUAC

3-1

3-2

80%

+4.7

23.5

11.4

0.351

49.5

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

1-2

1-4

81%

+2.0

61.0

35.9

0.713

25.1

LehighPatriot

3-1

3-2

82%

+1.5

20.4

24.2

0.528

37.9

RichmondCAA

3-1

3-2

82%

+7.7

20.9

22.6

0.403

33.1

LafayettePatriot

2-1

2-2

83%

+6.7

29.9

31.5

0.326

21.2

LindenwoodOVC

2-2

2-3

84%

−1.7

41.4

20.6

0.547

28.7

Jackson StateSWAC

2-1

3-2

87%

+5.5

23.6

26.1

0.522

14.9

North Carolina CentralMEAC

3-1

3-2

88%

+6.0

15.9

15.2

0.304

18.3

Robert MorrisNEC

2-1

2-3

89%

−4.5

25.4

9.9

0.512

17.9

BucknellPatriot

3-1

3-2

90%

−5.6

16.7

17.1

0.373

31.3

Grambling StateSWAC

2-1

3-2

91%

+0.3

23.4

30.6

0.454

13.6

TowsonCAA

1-2

1-3

91%

+4.8

58.9

13.7

0.740

31.9

South Carolina StateMEAC

2-1

2-2

92%

−1.9

19.9

9.4

0.515

25.3

CampbellCAA

2-2

2-3

93%

−1.4

32.4

29.4

0.602

42.5

MonmouthCAA

2-2

3-2

93%

+9.9

29.3

25.8

0.381

46.8

Tennessee StateOVC

3-2

94%

−5.5

30.1

4.6

0.500

31.8

HamptonCAA

2-2

3-2

95%

−3.1

27.5

19.2

0.441

36.4

Western CarolinaSouthern

1-2

1-3

95%

+4.9

44.2

45.9

0.528

33.9

UT MartinOVC

1-2

2-3

95%

+7.2

41.4

16.5

0.594

31.0

Morgan StateMEAC

1-2

2-3

96%

−4.1

35.3

28.1

0.560

18.4

Southern UtahUAC

1-2

2-3

97%

+6.1

34.1

42.7

0.480

36.5

ColgatePatriot

1-3

1-4

97%

+0.5

43.4

38.1

0.583

27.1

San DiegoPioneer

1-2

2-2

97%

−4.3

39.0

15.1

0.693

7.4

DaytonPioneer

2-1

3-1

97%

−5.2

10.9

8.7

0.181

10.8

SouthernSWAC

1-2

2-2

97%

−4.9

33.1

15.4

0.602

20.9

Weber StateBig Sky

2-2

2-3

97%

+8.1

20.5

15.9

0.411

42.4

GeorgetownPatriot

3-2

98%

−5.8

16.5

16.4

0.590

29.3

MerrimackFCS Indep.

1-2

1-4

98%

−1.6

29.3

22.9

0.670

15.5

StonehillNEC

1-2

98%

−11.1

34.2

10.8

0.644

24.6

ElonCAA

1-3

1-4

98%

+3.2

39.2

61.7

0.492

33.5

UAlbanyCAA

1-2

1-3

98%

+0.6

30.8

16.0

0.448

40.3

Alabama StateSWAC

1-2

2-2

98%

−0.7

27.7

14.0

0.255

18.0

Holy CrossPatriot

1-3

1-4

99%

+9.2

38.4

27.9

0.454

28.8

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-3

1-4

99%

+4.5

41.5

56.0

0.517

46.2

Morehead StatePioneer

1-2

3-2

99%

−11.8

43.6

3.0

0.568

15.9

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-2

1-3

99%

−4.7

23.1

21.0

0.551

17.6

West GeorgiaUAC

1-3

99%

−5.8

37.1

31.3

0.584

38.6

Eastern IllinoisOVC

1-2

1-4

99%

−4.3

24.0

14.7

0.495

29.7

The CitadelSouthern

1-3

2-3

99%

−9.2

37.4

17.5

0.540

29.6

Prairie View A&MSWAC

2-2

2-3

99%

−8.0

16.0

20.9

0.354

20.4

North AlabamaUAC

1-4

1-5

99%

−3.4

40.0

24.2

0.595

41.7

Austin PeayUAC

1-3

1-4

99%

+2.4

36.0

11.8

0.438

31.6

WagnerNEC

1-2

2-3

99%

−12.5

18.6

13.9

0.486

22.2

Charleston SouthernOVC

1-3

100%

−7.8

32.2

59.5

0.421

29.9

Indiana StateMVFC

1-2

1-3

100%

−5.5

16.1

17.5

0.361

49.5

HowardMEAC

1-2

2-3

100%

−6.6

18.8

4.3

0.245

18.0

Youngstown StateMVFC

1-3

1-4

100%

+8.3

38.2

3.3

0.497

54.1

Murray StateMVFC

1-2

1-3

100%

−5.2

29.8

1.6

0.484

58.1

Gardner-WebbOVC

1-2

1-4

100%

−3.1

15.3

5.1

0.500

26.1

Norfolk StateMEAC

1-3

2-4

100%

−9.6

24.3

11.1

0.491

18.9

FurmanSouthern

1-2

1-3

100%

+5.6

25.1

1.9

0.319

33.9

Delaware StateMEAC

1-3

1-4

100%

−14.3

24.6

15.1

0.387

20.5

Sacred HeartFCS Indep.

1-3

2-3

100%

−10.2

26.0

22.3

0.462

20.8

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-4

0-5

100%

−13.8

37.2

—

0.264

49.1

FordhamPatriot

0-4

0-5

100%

−12.2

34.0

—

0.637

29.5

BryantCAA

0-3

1-3

100%

−3.7

59.4

—

0.568

40.9

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-3

0-4

100%

−11.7

41.8

—

0.591

27.4

Long IslandNEC

0-4

0-5

100%

−3.7

43.2

—

0.569

17.4

MaristPioneer

0-4

100%

−24.5

22.4

—

0.450

10.4

MercyhurstNEC

0-3

1-4

100%

−12.1

37.1

—

0.436

22.9

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-5

100%

−23.3

19.8

—

0.298

20.0

North Carolina A&TCAA

0-3

1-4

100%

−14.2

42.4

—

0.591

43.0

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-3

0-5

100%

−15.3

36.2

—

0.477

27.8

PresbyterianPioneer

0-3

2-3

100%

−18.9

30.3

—

0.344

12.8

Utah TechUAC

0-4

0-5

100%

−10.7

46.7

—

0.639

41.8

ValparaisoPioneer

0-3

2-3

100%

−17.3

33.8

—

0.349

12.3

VMISouthern

0-3

0-4

100%

−15.6

27.8

—

0.505

37.5

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

3-1

29%

+31.5

45.9

small sample

45.9

0.616

57.8

—

South DakotaMVFC

2-0

3-1

41%

+21.1

34.9

small sample

34.9

0.782

53.2

—

HarvardIvy

1-1

99%

+8.7

19.0

small sample

1.5

0.479

40.7

—

DartmouthIvy

2-0

70%

+7.6

16.1

small sample

16.1

0.444

35.6

—

PennIvy

1-1

82%

+7.6

50.2

small sample

23.3

0.604

35.0

—

ChattanoogaSouthern

1-1

1-3

92%

+7.1

35.1

small sample

14.9

0.428

30.3

—

Tennessee TechOVC

2-0

2-2

52%

+6.2

26.7

small sample

26.7

0.569

26.7

—

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

1-1

2-2

97%

+5.8

24.1

small sample

7.3

0.431

25.9

—

Northern IowaMVFC

2-0

2-2

89%

+5.4

5.4

small sample

5.4

0.167

60.9

—

BrownIvy

2-0

40%

+3.8

35.1

small sample

35.1

0.767

36.0

—

YaleIvy

1-1

90%

+3.4

40.5

small sample

65.1

0.278

36.2

—

Florida A&MSWAC

2-0

2-2

76%

+3.3

12.4

small sample

12.4

0.602

16.9

—

DuquesneNEC

1-0

2-2

40%

+2.7

60.3

small sample

60.3

0.407

14.1

—

PrincetonIvy

1-1

96%

+2.2

21.7

small sample

13.5

0.498

42.3

—

ColumbiaIvy

1-1

92%

+2.2

32.3

small sample

48.4

0.637

35.1

—

CornellIvy

1-1

87%

+1.2

38.7

small sample

53.0

0.465

35.6

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

1-1

1-3

99%

+0.6

26.8

small sample

1.3

0.289

28.4

—

SamfordSouthern

1-1

1-2

97%

+0.2

18.4

small sample

21.7

0.315

34.0

—

ButlerPioneer

1-0

4-0

79%

−0.6

21.2

small sample

21.2

0.500

9.0

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

2-0

2-2

71%

−2.7

15.4

small sample

15.4

0.264

25.9

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-2

0-4

100%

−4.3

47.8

small sample

—

0.253

47.8

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-1

2-2

97%

−5.1

16.9

small sample

12.5

0.181

50.2

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

1-1

2-3

91%

−5.5

31.9

small sample

23.0

0.670

29.5

—

Saint FrancisNEC

0-2

1-3

100%

−6.1

16.8

small sample

—

0.500

15.6

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

1-1

2-3

99%

−6.6

18.9

small sample

2.4

0.428

20.8

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-2

0-5

100%

−8.4

36.4

small sample

—

0.437

20.6

—

DavidsonPioneer

1-1

3-1

100%

−10.8

8.3

small sample

2.1

0.322

11.1

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-2

1-3

100%

−11.2

29.4

small sample

—

0.535

11.8

—

Western IllinoisOVC

0-1

1-3

100%

−13.2

48.4

small sample

—

0.639

29.1

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-1

2-2

100%

−14.1

28.0

small sample

—

0.148

19.4

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−18.8

40.4

small sample

—

0.661

18.4

—

StetsonPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−21.5

46.6

small sample

—

0.139

13.6