Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#85
−4.3 pts · likely #53–109
Strength of schedule
24.0
#71 of 129
Strength of victory
14.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.495
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
29.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Indiana State | W 27-20 | −4.4 | −2.1 | 0.147 | 3 | −0.6 |
| 4 | at Illinois State | L 7-31 | +2.7 | +2.1 | 0.388 | 2 | −16.5 |
| 5 | vs Lindenwood | L 25-28 | −2.0 | −2.1 | 0.187 | 3 | −6.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.483
- Wk 7: at Tennessee State · p 0.198
- Wk 9: at UT Martin · p 0.512
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.051
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.252
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.100
- Wk 13: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.480
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 0-45
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-31