Indiana State
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#94
−5.5 pts · likely #58–113
Strength of schedule
16.1
#92 of 129
Strength of victory
17.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.361
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
49.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | L 20-27 | −5.3 | +2.1 | 0.204 | 3 | −9.2 |
| 3 | vs Dayton | W 24-13 | −2.7 | −2.1 | 0.175 | 3 | +3.7 |
| 5 | vs Houston Christian | L 24-27 | −7.5 | −2.1 | 0.103 | 3 | −10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Youngstown State · p 0.540
- Wk 7: vs Murray State · p 0.140
- Wk 8: at Missouri State · p 0.614
- Wk 9: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.398
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.625
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.838
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.353
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.453
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 0-49