Dayton
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#92
−5.2 pts · likely #56–113
Strength of schedule
10.9
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
8.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.181
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
10.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −4.5 | −2.1 | 0.144 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −8.1 | +2.1 | 0.155 | 3 | −14.4 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −21.1 | +2.1 | 0.029 | 4 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Davidson · p 0.062
- Wk 8: at Butler · p 0.308
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.059
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.039
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.025
- Wk 13: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.109
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7