Murray State
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#91
−5.2 pts · likely #58–111
Strength of schedule
29.8
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
1.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
58.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | −0.4 | −2.1 | 0.218 | 3 | −4.7 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −20.6 | −2.1 | 0.016 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +13.0 | +2.1 | 0.661 | 1 | −17.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs South Dakota · p 0.758
- Wk 7: at Indiana State · p 0.201
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.353
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.793
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.953
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.502
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.510
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51