North Dakota
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#7
+15.6 pts · likely #4–32
Strength of schedule
29.6
#58 of 129
Strength of victory
29.6
#10
Record SOS
0.653
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 70.8%
Remaining SOS
58.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +15.4 | −2.1 | 0.615 | 1 | +16.2 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +0.5 | −2.1 | 0.235 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −5.4 | −2.1 | 0.132 | 3 | +10.6 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −1.3 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at North Dakota State · p 0.865
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.344
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.540
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.201
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.918
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.758
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.462
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21