Montana
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#8
+15.3 pts · likely #4–30
Strength of schedule
40.4
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
32.4
#5
Record SOS
0.626
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
39.6
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +10.9 | −2.1 | 0.494 | 2 | +13.9 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +15.7 | +2.1 | 0.725 | 1 | +14.7 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −10.4 | −2.1 | 0.072 | 4 | +21.1 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +4.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Weber State · p 0.427
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.443
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.083
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.208
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.408
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.142
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.773
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.129
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.953