Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#113
−11.8 pts · likely #85–123
Strength of schedule
43.6
#13 of 129
Strength of victory
3.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
15.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +14.2 | +2.1 | 0.691 | 1 | −17.7 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +10.1 | +2.1 | 0.586 | 1 | −15.9 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −16.5 | −2.1 | 0.030 | 4 | −7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Butler · p 0.308
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.020
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.205
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.065
- Wk 11: at Davidson · p 0.105
- Wk 12: at Drake · p 0.259
- Wk 13: vs San Diego · p 0.153
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7