Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#18
+10.0 pts · likely #9–53
Strength of schedule
31.0
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
31.0
#6
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 35.4% · Opp. opp. 63.6%
Remaining SOS
22.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 37-15 | −2.2 | 0.0 | 0.224 | 3 | +18.6 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 45-42 OT | +6.7 | −2.1 | 0.384 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | W 38-21 | +10.9 | +2.1 | 0.608 | 1 | +26.0 |
| 5 | vs Northwestern State | W 19-0 | −18.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.225
- Wk 7: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.369
- Wk 8: at Charleston Southern · p 0.159
- Wk 9: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.170
- Wk 11: at Lindenwood · p 0.284
- Wk 12: vs Western Illinois · p 0.051
- Wk 13: at Tennessee State · p 0.198
- Wk 14: vs Illinois State · p 0.353
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 16-23