Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#33
+6.9 pts · likely #13–65
Strength of schedule
53.1
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
49.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.685
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 55.4%
Remaining SOS
49.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +4.5 | +2.1 | 0.436 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +13.2 | −2.1 | 0.556 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +6.7 | −2.1 | 0.383 | 2 | −9.1 |
| 5 | at South Dakota | L 13-42 | +16.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.353
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.793
- Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.201
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.614
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.427
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.953
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.140
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41