Incarnate Word
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#14
+11.1 pts · likely #7–48
Strength of schedule
51.1
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
31.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
34.6
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −14.8 | −2.1 | 0.040 | 4 | +5.1 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +32.1 | +2.1 | 0.957 | 1 | +12.6 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +5.3 | +2.1 | 0.456 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +14.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.092
- Wk 7: vs Nicholls State · p 0.235
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.322
- Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.371
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.128
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.179
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.479
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.108
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.595
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.953