Morgan State
MEAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#83
−4.1 pts · likely #53–109
Strength of schedule
35.3
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
28.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.560
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
18.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Hampton | W 30-28 | −1.6 | +2.1 | 0.281 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 2 | at Towson | L 9-14 | +6.6 | +2.1 | 0.492 | 2 | +1.9 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 3-22 | −1.4 | +2.1 | 0.287 | 2 | −15.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Merrimack · p 0.194
- Wk 9: at North Carolina Central · p 0.459
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.079
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.075
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.187
- Wk 13: vs Howard · p 0.112
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at OhioFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 56-7