Stony Brook
CAA · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#60
+1.0 pts · likely #35–91
Strength of schedule
18.3
#87 of 129
Strength of victory
18.3
#19
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 71.9%
Remaining SOS
45.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | W 37-10 | −8.1 | −2.1 | 0.096 | 4 | +13.8 |
| 3 | at Fordham | W 27-21 | −14.0 | +2.1 | 0.078 | 4 | −4.1 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 24-17 | +0.6 | +2.1 | 0.333 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 22-3 | −0.2 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Villanova · p 0.595
- Wk 8: at Towson · p 0.450
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.565
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.223
- Wk 11: vs UAlbany · p 0.231
- Wk 12: at New Hampshire · p 0.685
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.453
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45