Towson
CAA · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#45
+4.8 pts · likely #18–79
Strength of schedule
58.9
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
13.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.740
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
31.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −5.0 | −2.1 | 0.137 | 3 | −1.2 |
| 3 | at Villanova | L 13-14 | +17.0 | +2.1 | 0.754 | 1 | +15.6 |
| 4 | at North Dakota State | L 24-41 | +23.8 | +2.1 | 0.875 | 1 | +8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs William & Mary · p 0.565
- Wk 7: at Norfolk State · p 0.129
- Wk 8: vs Stony Brook · p 0.255
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.566
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.522
- Wk 11: vs Hampton · p 0.174
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.041
- Wk 13: at Campbell · p 0.296
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38