North Dakota State
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#2
+23.1 pts · likely #1–10
Strength of schedule
37.4
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
37.4
#2
Record SOS
0.745
Opp. 81.3% · Opp. opp. 61.0%
Remaining SOS
59.0
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | −4.8 | −2.1 | 0.141 | 3 | +27.4 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +5.7 | +2.1 | 0.469 | 2 | +12.9 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | +4.2 | −2.1 | 0.319 | 2 | +19.7 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota · p 0.625
- Wk 7: at Southern Illinois · p 0.510
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.918
- Wk 9: at Murray State · p 0.213
- Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.344
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.502
- Wk 13: at South Dakota · p 0.838
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.332
- Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.567
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.918
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.728
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31