East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#26
+7.8 pts · likely #11–65
Strength of schedule
50.0
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
33.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.586
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 64.6%
Remaining SOS
33.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +25.3 | −2.1 | 0.833 | 1 | +18.0 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +7.5 | +2.1 | 0.516 | 1 | +25.3 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −8.3 | +2.1 | 0.150 | 3 | +9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Chattanooga · p 0.389
- Wk 7: vs Samford · p 0.217
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.322
- Wk 10: at Mercer · p 0.674
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.334
- Wk 12: vs Furman · p 0.342
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.060
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0