Elon
CAA · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#52
+3.2 pts · likely #24–81
Strength of schedule
39.2
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
61.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 39.2%
Remaining SOS
33.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | W 41-19 | +11.3 | +2.1 | 0.617 | 1 | +30.1 |
| 3 | vs Western Carolina | L 17-24 | +2.6 | −2.1 | 0.282 | 2 | −4.2 |
| 4 | vs East Tennessee State | L 14-34 | +3.7 | −2.1 | 0.308 | 2 | −14.2 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 17-27 | +5.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs New Hampshire · p 0.578
- Wk 8: at UAlbany · p 0.326
- Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.257
- Wk 10: vs Campbell · p 0.206
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.673
- Wk 12: vs Maine · p 0.234
- Wk 13: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.073
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26