North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#38
+6.0 pts · likely #18–70
Strength of schedule
15.9
#94 of 129
Strength of victory
15.2
#25
Record SOS
0.304
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
18.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama State | W 31-24 | −0.9 | 0.0 | 0.250 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 2 | vs Elon | L 19-41 | −2.4 | −2.1 | 0.180 | 3 | −20.8 |
| 4 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 66-24 | −10.9 | −2.1 | 0.068 | 4 | +18.7 |
| 5 | vs (N) Norfolk State | W 37-10 | −7.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Campbell · p 0.296
- Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.161
- Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.273
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.112
- Wk 13: at Delaware State · p 0.075
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at North CarolinaFBS · L 10-45